20 Jul · 17:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SR
🇺🇦Stepan Rejent
ELO 1492
FormWLLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Heinzl
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1626
FormWWWLW
36%
64%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rejent🌟Rejent covers set handicap as underdog 64% (91)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+134
H2H17-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-9)