20 Jul · 15:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VV
🇺🇦Vladimir Voronenko
ELO 1476
FormLWLLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Fedoryshyn
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fedoryshyn
ELO 1801
FormWLLLW
20%
80%
🌟Voronenko covers set handicap as underdog 63% (51)
Fair odds · Fedoryshyn
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~74 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
28%
2-3
18%
3-2
8%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+325
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+325)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)