20 Jul · 16:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AF
🇺🇦Andrii Fastov
ELO 1450
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Fastov
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Priadko
ELO 1381
FormWWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Fastov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H4-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)