20 Jul · 20:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AZ
🇺🇦Andrii Zeniuk
ELO 1747
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Molochko
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1750
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Molochko🌟Zeniuk covers set handicap as underdog 64% (33)
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.