20 Jul · 15:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AY
🇺🇦Anton Yakovenko
ELO 1426
FormLWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kim
DK
🇺🇦Dmitriy Kim
ELO 1523
FormLLLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Kim
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+97
H2H21-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-20)