20 Jul · 18:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1598
FormLLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Pesternikov
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1708
FormLWWLW
39%
61%
🌟Pesternikov stays under total as favourite 62% (112)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H41-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-24)