20 Jul · 19:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Serhyenko
ELO 1427
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Bielokon
YB
🇺🇦Yevhen Bielokon
ELO 1466
FormLLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Bielokon rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (54)
Fair odds · Bielokon
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H49-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.