20 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1646
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kryshtal
DY
🇺🇦Dmytro Yurkov
ELO 1628
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kryshtal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H56-55
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.