20 Jul · 15:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1605
FormWWWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Rak
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1466
FormWWLWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Rak
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+139
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+139)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)