20 Jul · 15:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1626
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Heinzl
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1588
FormLWWLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Burylov🌟Burylov covers set handicap as underdog 70% (46)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H17-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.