20 Jul · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Serhyenko
ELO 1427
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hainiuk
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hainiuk
ELO 1489
FormLLWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Hainiuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H64-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (64-21)