20 Jul · 18:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1592
FormLLLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Horokh
RH
🇺🇦Roman Horokh
ELO 1756
FormWLWWL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Horokh
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H84-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (84-16)