20 Jul · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AY
🇺🇦Anton Yakovenko
ELO 1426
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chuliukov
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuliukov
ELO 1479
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
🌟Chuliukov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (90)
Fair odds · Chuliukov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H19-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-17)