20 Jul · 18:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Priadko
ELO 1308
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Priadko
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Klymenko
ELO 1263
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Klymenko stays under total as underdog 68% (38)
Fair odds · Priadko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H20-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-7)