20 Jul · 18:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YS
🇺🇦Yaroslav Stepanchuk
ELO 1476
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chuliukov
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuliukov
ELO 1479
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Chuliukov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (90)
Fair odds · Chuliukov
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H17-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.