20 Jul · 16:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1638
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kohut
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1694
FormWWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kohut
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H44-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-39)