20 Jul · 16:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1521
FormLWWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Pesternikov
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1700
FormLLWWL
32%
68%
🌟Kozachuk stays under total as underdog 66% (101)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+179
H2H97-90
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+179)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (97-90)