20 Jul · 18:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lifanov
ELO 1520
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lifanov
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sharpai
ELO 1510
FormWLWWW
51%
49%
🌟Lifanov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (67)
Fair odds · Lifanov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.