20 Jul · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1756
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Molochko
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1680
FormLWWWL
58%
42%
🌟Molochko goes over total as favourite 63% (83)
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H73-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (73-29)