20 Jul · 20:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Skliar
ELO 1492
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sharpai
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sharpai
ELO 1510
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
🌟Skliar stays under total as underdog 67% (15)
Fair odds · Sharpai
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.