20 Jul · 21:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hainiuk
ELO 1474
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skliar
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Skliar
ELO 1492
FormWLWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Skliar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.