20 Jul · 17:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1816
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hryban
VH
🇺🇦Vadym Hryban
ELO 1817
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Danyliuk covers set handicap as underdog 70% (56)
Fair odds · Hryban
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H63-38
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.