21 Jul · 04:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1553
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Parahailo
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1557
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Tebenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (93)
Fair odds · Parahailo
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H8-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.