21 Jul · 00:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Skachenko
ELO 1390
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Naida
ON
🇺🇦Oleksandr Naida
ELO 1472
FormLWWWL
41%
59%
🌟Naida rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (83)
Fair odds · Naida
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)