21 Jul · 01:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RG
🇺🇦Roman Gnoevoy
ELO 1536
FormWWLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Gnoevoy
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Skachenko
ELO 1390
FormLLWWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Gnoevoy
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~73 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+146
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)