21 Jul · 04:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moshovskyi
ELO 1551
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Moshovskyi
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Korobko
ELO 1513
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Korobko🌟Moshovskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (33)
Fair odds · Moshovskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.