20 Jul · 20:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VC
🇺🇦Valentyn Chumak
ELO 1524
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kaganovych
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Kaganovych
ELO 1568
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
🌟Chumak covers set handicap as underdog 71% (55)
Fair odds · Kaganovych
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H35-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-29)