20 Jul · 20:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1525
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Derevianko
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1577
FormWWLLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hrytsenko🌟Hrytsenko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (53)
Fair odds · Derevianko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)