21 Jul · 00:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksii Shyndel
ELO 1549
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bektemirov
EB
🇺🇦Eldar Bektemirov
ELO 1574
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
🌟Shyndel rarely covers set handicap as underdog 29% (17)
Fair odds · Bektemirov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H4-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.