20 Jul · 19:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
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🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1577
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Derevianko
VS
🇺🇦Volodymyr Savoliuk
ELO 1561
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Derevianko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (33)
Fair odds · Derevianko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H12-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.