21 Jul · 05:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YK
🇺🇦Yan Krol
ELO 1584
FormWLWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Krol
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Melashenko
ELO 1437
FormLLLLW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Krol
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+147
H2H53-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-9)