20 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Volodymyr Savoliuk
ELO 1561
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1602
FormLLWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H3-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.