21 Jul · 00:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1495
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Parahailo
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1557
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
🌟Kovalchuk covers set handicap as underdog 62% (82)
Fair odds · Parahailo
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H42-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-32)