21 Jul · 00:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Korobko
ELO 1513
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tebenko
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1553
FormWWLLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Korobko🌟Tebenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (48)
Fair odds · Tebenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H13-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.