21 Jul · 03:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Melashenko
ELO 1437
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Melashenko
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1424
FormLWLWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hrynenko🌟Melashenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (52)
Fair odds · Melashenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H24-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.