20 Jul · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moshovskyi
ELO 1551
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Maltsev
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1594
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H7-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)