20 Jul · 23:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1553
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Tebenko
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1495
FormWWLWL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kovalchuk🌟Tebenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (48)
Fair odds · Tebenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H30-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-24)