21 Jul · 02:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moshovskyi
ELO 1551
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Tebenko
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1553
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Tebenko🌟Tebenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (48)
Fair odds · Tebenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H13-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.