21 Jul · 02:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1409
FormLWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Lazebny
RL
🇺🇦Ruslan Lazebny
ELO 1535
FormLWLWW
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shypilov🌟Lazebny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (132)
Fair odds · Lazebny
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+126
H2H32-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-16)