20 Jul · 23:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleksii Mitla
ELO 1451
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mitla
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kalenyk
ELO 1409
FormWLWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kalenyk🌟Mitla rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (48)
Fair odds · Mitla
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H20-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)