21 Jul · 05:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Khamurda
ELO 1548
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Khamurda
RG
🇺🇦Roman Gnoevoy
ELO 1536
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gnoevoy🌟Gnoevoy covers set handicap as underdog 70% (61)
Fair odds · Khamurda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H75-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.