21 Jul · 03:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1594
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Maltsev
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1557
FormWLWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
Elo Gap+37
H2H8-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.