21 Jul · 03:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Korobko
ELO 1513
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Korobko
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1495
FormWWLWL
52%
48%
🌟Korobko stays under total as favourite 77% (26)
Fair odds · Korobko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H22-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.