20 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LH
🇺🇦Ladislav Hendrych
ELO 1550
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hendrych
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1520
FormWLWWW
53%
47%
🌟Merkl covers set handicap as underdog 72% (76)
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.