20 Jul · 21:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YB
🇺🇦Yevhen Bielokon
ELO 1467
FormLWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sharpai
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sharpai
ELO 1510
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Sharpai
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)