20 Jul · 23:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YK
🇺🇦Yan Krol
ELO 1584
FormWLWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Krol
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1424
FormLWLWL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Krol
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H35-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-30)