20 Jul · 19:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VC
🇺🇦Valentyn Chumak
ELO 1514
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kim
DK
🇺🇦Dmitriy Kim
ELO 1538
FormWWLLL
47%
53%
🌟Chumak covers set handicap as underdog 71% (55)
Fair odds · Kim
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.