20 Jul · 20:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1717
FormWWWLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Pesternikov
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1454
FormLLWWL
75%
25%
🌟Pesternikov stays under total as favourite 62% (112)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~72 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
26%
3-2
17%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+263
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+263)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)