21 Jul · 01:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moshovskyi
ELO 1551
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Moshovskyi
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1495
FormWWLWL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kovalchuk🌟Moshovskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (33)
Fair odds · Moshovskyi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H7-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)