20 Jul · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Korobko
ELO 1513
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Maltsev
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1594
FormLWWWL
41%
59%
🌟Korobko stays under total as underdog 63% (38)
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H13-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-12)